Posts

Showing posts with the label Abraham Accords

The “Marshall Plan” for the Middle East: Rebuilding the Region—or Redrawing It?

As wars, sanctions, and political fatigue reshape the Middle East, talk of a “New Marshall Plan” and the “Abraham Accords” has returned to the global stage. Beneath the rhetoric of peace and reconstruction, these plans reveal a deeper struggle: the redistribution of power, energy, and influence between the United States, Israel, China, Russia, and the Arab Gulf states — while Iran stands at a precarious crossroads between resistance and reluctant engagement. 📚  The idea of a Marshall Plan for the Middle East emerged in Western think tanks after the war in Ukraine and the ongoing conflict in Gaza. Echoing the post–World War II economic recovery of Europe, this plan envisions a massive financial and technological reconstruction — not of ruins, but of political and digital landscapes. For Washington, the new frontier is not military dominance but economic and digital leverage : securing energy corridors, investing in AI infrastructure, and managing influence through regional in...

The New Map of the Middle East: When Empires Return in Digital Disguise

While headlines focus on regional wars and proxy conflicts, the real battle is unfolding quietly behind closed doors — in strategy rooms from Washington to Beijing.  A new geopolitical map of the Middle East is being drawn, not with borders and armies, but with pipelines, data cables, and digital influence. The question is: where does the Islamic Republic of Iran stand in this shifting order? 🌍 The New Middle East: A Digital Sykes–Picot Since the secret Sykes–Picot Agreement of 1916, the Middle East has repeatedly been redrawn — often by those far from its deserts. But today’s redivision is less about land and more about control of energy, information, and ideology . The U.S. and the U.K., weary of costly military interventions, have turned to a softer form of dominance: networks instead of bases, influence instead of invasion. Their map is woven through digital infrastructure, trade routes, and alliances of convenience — reshaping the region without a single shot fired. O...

«نقشه جدید خاورمیانه؛ بازگشت امپراتوری‌ها در لباسی مدرن»

      در حالی‌که رسانه‌ها سرگرم روایت جنگ‌های منطقه‌ای و رقابت‌های تسلیحاتی‌اند، قدرت‌های جهانی quietly در حال طراحی نقشه‌ای تازه برای خاورمیانه‌اند — نقشه‌ای که نه با مرزهای خاکی، بلکه با خطوط انرژی، پهنای اینترنت و ائتلاف‌های نرم ترسیم می‌شود.  پرسش این است: جایگاه ایران در این نقشه آینده کجاست؟  و آیا «جمهوری اسلامی» در بازی بزرگ شرق و غرب، بازیگر است یا صفحه‌ی بازی؟     مقاله تحلیلی ـ تاریخی از زمان توافق «سایکس–پیکو» در سال ۱۹۱۶ تا امروز، خاورمیانه همیشه میدان ترسیم نقشه‌هایی بوده که دیگران برای آن کشیده‌اند.  این‌بار اما نقشه جدید نه از خاک، بلکه از داده، نفت و نفوذ طراحی می‌شود.  آمریکا، انگلیس، و متحدانشان پس از تجربه شکست‌های نظامی و هزینه‌های سنگین، اکنون با «نقشه ژئوپلیتیک نرم» به میدان آمده‌اند؛ نقشه‌ای که در آن رسانه، فناوری، و شبکه‌های انرژی جای تانک و تفنگ را گرفته‌اند . در سمت دیگر، روسیه و چین با مدل متفاوتی از نفوذ — ترکیب اقتصاد، سلاح و ایدئولوژی ملی‌گرایانه — وارد شده‌اند . مسکو در خاورمیانه به دنبال باز...

How the Islamic Republic’s Exported-Revolution Package Comes with an Unlisted Clause

 Bread, Scholarships… and Children?  How the Islamic Republic’s Exported-Revolution Package Comes with an Unlisted Clause Tehran’s educational diplomacy—offering free tuition, boarding and scholarships to students from Africa and the developing world—has become a lesser-noticed conduit for ideological export. But another dimension of the scheme is now surfacing: children born to foreign students and clerics, whose legal status and recognition often remain unresolved. The Islamic Republic has long sought “strategic depth” in Africa and the wider global south, building networks of foreign students, clerics and educational institutions. One international religious university affiliated with its institutions claims tens of thousands of foreign enrolments, with many students arriving from less-developed countries. In Africa and elsewhere, the pattern is familiar: offer a scholarship, lodging, perhaps cultural integration—then send someone home or into the field as a “missionary of ...

Bread, Scholarships… and Children? How the Islamic Republic’s Exported-Revolution Package Comes with an Unlisted Clause

 Bread, Scholarships… and Children?  How the Islamic Republic’s Exported-Revolution Package Comes with an Unlisted Clause Lead paragraph: Tehran’s educational diplomacy—offering free tuition, boarding and scholarships to students from Africa and the developing world—has become a lesser-noticed conduit for ideological export. But another dimension of the scheme is now surfacing: children born to foreign students and clerics, whose legal status and recognition often remain unresolved. Body: The Islamic Republic has long sought “strategic depth” in Africa and the wider global south, building networks of foreign students, clerics and educational institutions. One international religious university affiliated with its institutions claims tens of thousands of foreign enrolments, with many students arriving from less-developed countries. In Africa and elsewhere, the pattern is familiar: offer a scholarship, lodging, perhaps cultural integration—then send someone home or into the fiel...

Progress, but on Our Terms: Washington’s Vision for Iran’s Future

Image
Progress, but on Our Terms: Washington’s Vision for Iran’s Future When U.S. officials like J.D. Vance and Donald Trump say: “We want Iran to prosper,” what they truly mean is a guided form of progress — one that distances Tehran from Beijing and Moscow , while bringing it closer to the Western economic order . For Washington , an isolated Iran is a dependent Iran — dependent on Chinese oil purchases and Russian military technology . By offering “economic progress,” the U.S. hopes to reverse that dependence, turning Iran from a partner of the East into a manageable actor within a Western-designed framework. In practice, it means: Oil for global markets, not for China . Trade under Western oversight . A region less hospitable to Russian and Chinese influence. Behind the polite diplomacy lies a familiar pattern: “Prosperity” becomes leverage — progress, yes, but only within Washington’s script. 🌍 Journalist | Association of Environmental Journalists Environment...

Instead of exporting your revolution or enriching uranium, rebuild the Persian civilization that once amazed the world

Image
  Polish FM to Iran: “ Instead of exporting your revolution or enriching uranium, rebuild the Persian civilization that once amazed the world .” That one sentence hit harder than any sanction. Because somewhere between ideology and isolation, Iran stopped enriching its greatest resource — its humanity. Once, this land built poetry, gardens, and philosophy that shaped the world. Now it builds silence, slogans, and self-censorship. The Revolution promised revival; instead, it buried identity under ideology. Mr. Sikorski’s remark wasn’t just diplomacy — it was diagnosis. Iran doesn’t need more uranium. It needs more light. And perhaps, to rediscover the civilization that once defined beauty itself. #Iran #Culture #Civilization #PersianHeritage #Journalistsir 🌍 Journalist | Association of Environmental Journalists Environment is life’s concern... ✴ When there is no bread, no tree will give shade. @journalistsir | @bahrm8 https://journalistsirani.blogspot.com

Talks in the Shadows, Denials in the Light

  " Talks in the Shadows, Denials in the Light " US envoy hints at dialogue with Iran, while Tehran remains silent In a recent interview with CBS, Brett McGurk’s deputy, Brett Vitkoff, the U.S. envoy for Iran, made a revealing comment: “We are working with Iran. We are talking to them. We hope for a long-term diplomatic solution.” Despite Tehran’s repeated denials, Vitkoff’s statement strongly suggests that communication channels remain open — possibly through mediators like Oman or Qatar. Analysts in Tehran interpret the remarks as part of Washington’s “dual-track diplomacy”: applying economic pressure while nurturing dialogue behind closed doors. Several readings emerge: Internal leverage: The U.S. may be engaging with specific figures within Iran’s power structure, those seen as potentially more pragmatic or influential in shaping future decisions. Psychological signaling: Washington’s message targets both Iran’s leadership and domestic public opinion — a reminder that dip...

Talks in the Shadows, Denials in the Light

Image
"Talks in the Shadows, Denials in the Light" US envoy hints at dialogue with Iran, while Tehran remains silent In a recent interview with CBS, Brett McGurk’s deputy, Brett Vitkoff, the U.S. envoy for Iran, made a revealing comment: “We are working with Iran. We are talking to them. We hope for a long-term diplomatic solution.” Despite Tehran’s repeated denials, Vitkoff’s statement strongly suggests that communication channels remain open — possibly through mediators like Oman or Qatar. Analysts in Tehran interpret the remarks as part of Washington’s “dual-track diplomacy”: applying economic pressure while nurturing dialogue behind closed doors. Several readings emerge: Internal leverage: The U.S. may be engaging with specific figures within Iran’s power structure, those seen as potentially more pragmatic or influential in shaping future decisions. Psychological signaling: Washington’s message targets both Iran’s leadership and domestic public opinion — a reminder that diploma...

Secret Talks Mediated by Putin: Tehran’s Role in a New Moscow–Washington–Tel Aviv Equation

Secret Talks Mediated by Putin: Tehran’s Role in a New Moscow–Washington–Tel Aviv Equation Barak Ravid — a senior Israeli journalist and foreign policy analyst for Axios and Israel’s Channel 13 News — has revealed that secret negotiations have begun between Iran and several U.S.-aligned regional states, mediated by Russian President Vladimir Putin. According to Ravid, these talks are part of the Kremlin’s broader strategy to regain geopolitical leverage in the Middle East amid the ongoing stalemate in Ukraine. Putin is reportedly using his ties with Tehran as a bargaining chip to extract concessions from the West, at a time when Moscow is seeking diplomatic off-ramps from the Ukraine war and a relaxation of sanctions. Sources familiar with the matter say the discussions involve multi-layered security dialogues between Iranian representatives and Russian intermediaries, potentially aimed at easing regional tensions and re-establishing a discreet communication channel with Washington. Ra...

Not Afraid of the U.S. or Israel — But of Internal Division,” says Iran’s President Pezeshkian

 “Not Afraid of the U.S. or Israel — But of Internal Division,” says Iran’s President Pezeshkian Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian declared, “ I am not afraid of the U.S. or Israel, but I fear internal division and discord. If we remain united and supportive, we will overcome all challenges .” The remark reflects Pezeshkian’s attempt to balance two priorities: national unity and strategic realism. Analysts say the president’s statement is less about defiance toward foreign powers and more about warning the country’s political factions not to deepen domestic rifts at a time of economic strain and social fatigue. Unlike previous administrations that emphasized confrontation abroad, Pezeshkian’s tone suggests a shift — redefining “national security” as a function of internal trust and cohesion, not merely defense against external threats. This framing may prove crucial for a leader seeking to maintain stability amid economic hardship, regional tension, and widening ideological divid...

Trump’s Speech on Israel: Renewing the Abraham Accords and Middle East Peace Talks

Image
Former President Donald Trump’s latest remarks on Israel reignite discussion about peace in the Middle East and the future of the Abraham Accords. Here’s a full analysis of his message and its potential impact. Donald Trump discorso su Israele e pace in Medio Oriente 🟩 Trump’s Knesset Speech: “A Hand of Friendship to Iran” or the Blueprint for a New Middle East? By JournalistsIR | Association of Environmental Journalists Independent journalism – meaningful information, without bias A surprising tone from Trump in the Israeli parliament Donald Trump’s address today at the Israeli Knesset was more than a political performance — it was the unveiling of a new Middle East strategy. Standing at the podium where Israel’s toughest voices against Tehran have often spoken, Trump stunned observers by saying:   “The hand of friendship and cooperation is always open to Iran.” He went further, suggesting that Iran could one day join the circle of peace, if it chooses a different future for its ...

ترامپ در کنست: «دست دوستی به ایران» یا طراحی نقشه صلح خاورمیانه ۲

Image
 ✳ ترامپ در کنست: «دست دوستی به ایران» یا طراحی نقشه صلح خاورمیانه ۲ ؟ 🟩 تحلیل اختصاصی – ژورنالیست | journalistsir 🕊 استقلال خبری، اطلاع‌رسانی مفید، بدون جانبداری سخنرانی امروز دونالد ترامپ در مجلس اسرائیل (کنست)، نه فقط یک نمایش سیاسی، بلکه تابلویی تازه از بازی بزرگ خاورمیانه بود. جایی که مردی که روزی ایران را در فهرست «شیطان بزرگ» گذاشته بود، امروز از «دست دوستی به سوی ایران» سخن گفت. در نخستین دقایق پس از پایان جنگ ۱۲ روزه، ترامپ از پشت تریبونی که معمولاً صدای تندترین دشمنان ایران از آن شنیده می‌شود، گفت: «دست دوستی و همکاری همیشه به سوی ایران باز است.» و ادامه داد: «ایران هم می‌تواند بخشی از دایره صلح باشد، اگر اراده کند که آینده‌ای متفاوت برای مردمش بسازد.» 🔹 پیام واقعی چیست؟ در ظاهر، ترامپ پیام صلح داد؛ اما در عمق، او «نقشه جدید خاورمیانه» را کلید زد — نسخه دوم پیمان ابراهیم. پیمانی که این‌بار، ایران در حاشیه آن است نه در تقابل. ترامپ می‌خواهد نقشه‌ای طراحی کند که:  اسرائیل جنگ را تمام‌شده بداند،  کشورهای عربی از خستگی درگیری رها شوند، و ایران، اگر نه شریک، دست...

کوروشِ جدید کشف شد

Image
 کوروشِ جدید کشف شد! نسخهٔ ۲۰۲۵ میلادی! نه از پاسارگاد، بلکه از کاخ سفید… پلاک طلایی هم داره: «ساخت اسرائیل با حمایت مالی واشنگتن!» روی دیوار زدن: CYRUS THE GREAT IS ALIVE! بله زنده‌ست، فقط یه کم رنگ موهاش نارنجی شده و با توییتر کار می‌کنه 😎 کوروش قدیم آزادی یهود رو داد، کوروش جدید آزادی قدس رو «گرفت»! اون موقع منشور حقوق بشر نوشت، این یکی منشور توییت‌های صبحگاهی! به‌قول یکی از رهگذرا: «اگه کوروش الان زنده‌ست، لطفاً یکی بهش بگه تاج و تختش رو پس بده، این یکی زیادی تو سیاست قاتی کرده!» 😂

Behind Trump’s Confidence in Cooperation with Iran

Image
 Behind Trump’s Confidence in Cooperation with Iran During a cabinet meeting, Donald Trump said:  “Iran wants to work on peace right now. They have informed us and admitted they fully support this agreement.” He added: “We will cooperate with Iran. We’d love to see them rebuild their country.” These remarks are not just campaign rhetoric. Trump’s tone of confidence suggests he has received signals from inside Iran. While the Supreme Leader continues his harsh anti-U.S. stance, parts of the Iranian establishment seem to be taking another path — one toward quiet understanding and negotiation for survival. According to regional sources, indirect communications have recently been reactivated through Qatar and Oman, focusing on Iran’s role in stabilizing the Gaza agreement and reducing regional tensions. Trump, in turn, uses these signals to portray himself as the architect of Middle East peace. Within Iran, pragmatic economic and security officials are reportedly seeking limited e...

پشت پرده اطمینان ترامپ به همکاری ایران

Image
 پشت پرده اطمینان ترامپ به همکاری ایران دونالد ترامپ در جلسه کابینه خود گفت: «ایران می‌خواهد همین حالا روی صلح کار کند، آنها به ما اطلاع داده‌اند و اذعان کرده‌اند که کاملاً طرفدار این توافق هستند.» و در ادامه افزود: «ما با ایران همکاری خواهیم کرد. دوست داریم ببینیم که آنها قادر به بازسازی کشورشان باشند.» این جملات، تنها یک شعار انتخاباتی نیست. لحن اطمینان ترامپ نشان می‌دهد او از کانال‌هایی در داخل ایران سیگنال‌هایی دریافت کرده است. به‌نظر می‌رسد در شرایطی که رهبر جمهوری اسلامی همچنان بر مواضع تند ضدآمریکایی تأکید دارد، بخشی از بدنه قدرت در تهران مسیر دیگری را در پیش گرفته است؛ مسیری به‌سوی تفاهم پنهان و مذاکره برای بقا. به گفته منابع منطقه‌ای، تماس‌های غیرمستقیم از ماه گذشته از طریق قطر و عمان دوباره فعال شده‌اند و محور آن، «نقش ایران در تثبیت توافق غزه و کاهش تنش در خاورمیانه» است. ترامپ هم با استفاده از همین سیگنال‌ها، می‌خواهد نشان دهد که «صلح خاورمیانه با بازگشت او ممکن است.» جریان‌هایی در داخل ایران – به‌ویژه مدیران اقتصادی و امنیتی عمل‌گرا – تلاش دارند از مسیر تعامل محدود با ...