After Venezuela, Iran: This Is Sequencing, Not Emotion
Venezuela is not about democracy, human rights, or Latin America. It is about energy security and war-risk management . Any analysis that ignores this is either naïve or deliberately misleading. If the United States succeeds in imposing effective control over Venezuela, it gains access to the world’s largest proven oil reserves, precisely the type of heavy crude required to stabilize global markets in the event of a major disruption in the Persian Gulf. In practical terms, this means pre-insuring the energy costs of a future confrontation with Iran . Until now, the primary constraint on escalating conflict with Iran has been the fear of an energy shock: skyrocketing oil prices, market instability, and global economic fallout. Venezuela directly neutralizes that constraint. With Venezuela under control: U.S. dependence on Persian Gulf stability is reduced Supply shocks from potential damage to Iranian or regional energy infrastructure become manageable Military pressure on Iran be...